意大利一个因特网咨询公司 Casaleggio Associati 做了个短片，试图预测媒体未来四五十年间的发展。说 Google 买下微软，Amazon 买下 Yahoo（这些似乎在哪儿看到过），Second Life 发展壮大。比较有趣的是，它说 2011 年是版权问题的临界点，2020 年 Lawrence Lessig 成为美国新一任 Secretary of Justice，宣布版权非法。Google 创建 Prometeus（普罗米修斯），后来 Prometeus 收购了 Amazon 的 Place，以及 Second Life 的变身 Spirit，资助所有空间探险，以发现新世界。（原来是普罗米修斯神话啊）

下面贴一下字幕：

Man is God.
He is everywhere, he is anybody, he knows everything.
This is the Prometeus new world.
All started with the Media Revolution, with Internet, at the end of the last century.
Everything related to the old media vanished: Gutenberg, the
copyright, the radio, the television, the publicity.
The old world reacts: more restrictions for the copyright, new laws against non authorized copies. Napster, the music peer to peer company is sued.
At the same time, free internet radio appears;
TIVO, the internet television, allows to avoid publicity; the Wall Street Journal goes on line; Google launches Google news.
Millions of people read daily the biggest on line newspaper. Ohmynews written by thousands of journalists; Flickr becomes the biggest repository in the history of photos, YouTube for movies.
The power of the masses.
A new figure emerges: the prosumer, a producer and a consumer of information. Anyone can be a prosumer.
The news channels become available on Internet.
The blogs become more influential than the old media.
The newspapers are released for free.
Wikipedia is the most complete encyclopedia ever.
In 2007 Life magazine closes.
The NYT sells its television and declares that the future is digital. BBC follows.
In the main cities of the world people are connected for free.
At the corners of the streets totems print pages from blogs and digital magazines.
The virtual worlds are common places on the Internet for millions of people.
A person can have multiple on line identities.
Second Life launches the vocal avatar.
The old media fight back.
A tax is added on any screen; newspapers, radios and televisions are financed by the State; illegal download from the web is punished with years of jail.
Around 2011 the tipping point is reached: the publicity investments are done on the Net. The electronic paper is a mass product: anyone can read anything on plastic paper.
In 2015 newspapers and broadcasting television disappear, digital terrestrial is abandoned, the radio goes on the Internet.
The media arena is less and less populated. Only the Tyrannosaurus Rex survives. The Net includes and unifies all the content. Google buys Microsoft. Amazon buys Yahoo! and become the world universal content leaders with BBC, CNN and CCTV.
The concept of static information – books, articles, images – changes and is transformed into knowledge flow.
The publicity is chosen by the content creators, by the authors and becomes information, comparison, experience.
In 2020 Lawrence Lessig, the author of ‘Free Culture’, is the new US Secretary of Justice and declares the copyright illegal.
Devices that replicate the five senses are available in the virtual worlds. The reality could be replicated in Second Life.
Any one has an Agav (agent-avatar) that finds information, people, places in the virtual worlds.
In 2022 Google launches Prometeus, the Agav standard interface.
Amazon creates Place, a company that replicates reality. You can be on Mars, at the battle of Waterloo, at the Super Bowl as a person. It’s real.
In 2027 Second Life evolves into Spirit. People become who they want.
And share the memory. The experiences. The feelings. Memory selling becomes a normal trading.
In 2050 Prometeus buys Place and Spirit. Virtual life is the biggest market on the planet. Prometeus finances all the space missions to find new worlds for its customers: the terrestrial avatar.
Experience is the new reality.

Voice: Philip K. Dick Avatar.
Date: 6th April 2051
Lugar: desconocido